If yous desire to know what actual query on the effects of diverse gun command policies receive got to say, the RAND Corporation has your back. It has published a lengthy reports: "The Science of Gun Policy: A Critical Synthesis of Research Evidence on the Effects of Gun Policies inward the United States," yesteryear a squad of 17 researchers led yesteryear Andrew R. Morral. H5N1 smaller grouping led yesteryear Morral also published "The Magnitude as well as Sources of Disagreement Among Gun Policy Experts." And there's also a overnice accessible website amongst a summary of results as well as links to these to a greater extent than detailed studies. They write:
The xiii classes of gun policies considered inward this query are every bit follows:They focus on high-quality studies published since 2003. They write:
1. background checks
2. bans on the sale of onrush weapons as well as high-capacity magazines
3. stand-your-ground laws
4. prohibitions associated amongst mental illness
5. lost or stolen firearm reporting requirements
6. licensing as well as permitting requirements
7. firearm sales reporting as well as recording requirements
8. child-access prevention laws
9. give upward of firearms yesteryear prohibited possessors
10. minimum historic menstruum requirements
11. concealed-carry laws
12. waiting periods
13. gun-free zones.
The 8 outcomes considered inward this query are
1. suicide
2. trigger-happy crime
3. unintentional injuries as well as deaths
4. majority shootings
5. officer-involved shootings
6. defensive gun use
7. hunting as well as recreation
8. gun industry.
"[W]e produced query syntheses that describe the character as well as findings of the best available scientific evidence. Each synthesis defines the shape of policies existence considered; presents as well as rates the available evidence; and describes what conclusions, if any, tin hold upward drawn close the policy’s effects on outcomes. In many cases, nosotros were unable to set whatsoever query that met our criteria for considering a study every bit providing minimally persuasive evidence for a policy’s effects. Studies were excluded from this review if they offered exclusively correlational evidence for a possible causal outcome of the law, such every bit showing that states amongst a specific constabulary had lower firearm suicides at a unmarried betoken inward fourth dimension than states without the law. Correlations like these tin occur for many reasons other than the effects of a unmarried law, thus this sort of evidence provides footling information close the effects attributable to specific laws. We did non exclude studies on the ground of their findings, exclusively on the ground of their methods for isolating causal effects. For studies that met our inclusion criteria, nosotros summarize key findings as well as methodological weaknesses, when present, as well as furnish our consensus judgment on the overall forcefulness of the available scientific evidence."One master copy outcome is that the actual evidence is pretty thin. "Of to a greater extent than than 100 combinations of policies as well as outcomes, nosotros flora that surprisingly few were the dependent plain of methodologically rigorous investigation." For example, evidence on 4 of the 8 outcomes was "essentially unavailable," including defensive gun use, officer-involved shootings, hunting as well as recreation, as well as effects on the gun industry. None of the studies of waiting periods as well as licencing as well as permitting requirements receive got reached to a greater extent than than inconclusive results. There are no methodologically audio studies at all on the effects of gun-free zones or requirements for reporting of lost or stolen firearms. I'll but listing the study's overall conclusions here:
Conclusion 1. Available evidence supports the determination that child-access prevention laws, or security storage laws, cut back self-inflicted fatal or nonfatal firearm injuries amid youth. There is moderate evidence that these laws cut back firearm suicides amid youth as well as express evidence that the laws cut back total (i.e., firearm as well as nonfirearm) suicides amid youth.
Conclusion 2. Available evidence supports the determination that child-access prevention laws, or security storage laws, cut back unintentional firearm injuries or unintentional firearm deaths amid children. In addition, at that spot is express evidence that these laws may cut back unintentional firearm injuries amid adults. ...
Conclusion 3. There is moderate evidence that background checks cut back firearm suicides as well as firearm homicides, every bit good every bit express evidence that these policies tin cut back overall suicide as well as trigger-happy criminal offence rates.
Conclusion 4. There is moderate evidence that stand-your-ground laws may increase dry ground homicide rates as well as express evidence that the laws increase firearm homicides inward particular.Of course, absence of evidence is non evidence of absence--that is, but because at that spot is a lack of evidence on for sure policies or outcomes doesn't examine that those policies don't work. But it does propose that a flat of humility mightiness hold upward appropriate on all sides. As a hopelessly out-of-touch academic, peradventure at that spot could hold upward bipartisan consensus on edifice upward the information as well as evidence thus that meliorate studies tin hold upward done, but maybe this is a province of affairs where neither side wishes to accept the risk tha their presuppositions mightiness hold upward rebutted. Or at to the lowest degree when gun command laws are passed, the constabulary could include a specific provision for just how those laws volition hold upward meaningfully evaluated a few years downwards the road.
Conclusion 5. There is moderate evidence that laws prohibiting the buy or possession of guns yesteryear individuals amongst around forms of mental affliction cut back trigger-happy crime, as well as at that spot is express evidence that such laws cut back homicides inward particular. There is also express evidence these laws may cut back total suicides as well as firearm suicides. ...
Conclusion 6. There is express evidence that earlier implementation of a ban on the sale of onrush weapons as well as high-capacity magazines, at that spot is an increase inward the sales as well as prices of the products that the ban volition prohibit.
Conclusion 7. There is express evidence that a minimum historic menstruum of 21 for purchasing firearms may cut back firearm suicides amid youth.
Conclusion 8. No studies coming together our inclusion criteria receive got examined required reporting of lost or stolen firearms, required reporting as well as recording of firearm sales, or gun-free zones. ...
Conclusion 9. The pocket-sized growth inward noesis close the effects of gun policy over the yesteryear dozen years reflects, inward part, the reluctance of the U.S. regime to sponsor function inward this surface area at levels comparable to its investment inward other areas of world security as well as health, such every bit transportation safety. ...
Conclusion 10. Research examining the effects of gun policies on officer-involved shootings, defensive gun use, hunting as well as recreation, as well as the gun manufacture is virtually nonexistent.
Conclusion 11. The lack of information on gun ownership as well as availability as well as on guns inward legal as well as illegal markets severely limits the character of existing research. ...
Conclusion 12. Crime as well as victimization monitoring systems are incomplete as well as non nonetheless fulfilling their hope of supporting high-quality gun policy query inward the areas nosotros investigated. ...
Conclusion 13. The methodological character of query on firearms tin hold upward significantly improved.
Follow-up on 3/13/18: Faithful reader DK reminds me that Congress blocked Blue Planet wellness authorities from doing query into gun command issues dorsum inward the 1990s, every bit the New York Times but reported. I'm pretty much ever inward favor of additional research, as well as I don't similar query existence limited That said, it seems pretty clear to me every bit someone who has never fired a gun as well as tends to favor additional gun controls that most world wellness researchers thus as well as straight off receive got been so stridently anti-gun that their query was non trustworthy. I also tend to persuasion gun policy every bit a social scientific discipline issue, which is best tackled amongst the social scientific discipline query methods similar those considered inward the RAND report. It's non clear to me that public wellness researchers receive got the tools or expertise to address it appropriately.
Sumber http://conversableeconomist.blogspot.com/
Comments